Recent article from the weather.com has said that virtually every system approaching Hawaii from the east since 1950 tracking at least as far north as the latitude of the Big Island of Hawaii eventually weakened to a tropical storm or depression by the time it reached the islands.
Last August, Iselle became only the second tropical storm to landfall on the Big Island dating to 1950, after strengthening to a Category 4 hurricane.
Incidentally, hurricanes Julio and Ana also passed near the Hawaiian Islands in 2014. Ana was one of only four hurricanes since 1950 to pass within 150 nautical miles of Honolulu, dumping locally heavy rain and generating high surf.
At this time, the trend in the computer forecast models has been to bring Guillermo north of the islands. Guillermo will also be weakening as it approaches Hawaii due to stronger wind shear and dry air.
But it’s still early and the forecast could change. Interests in Hawaii should continue to monitor the progress of this system, as at the very least large waves are likely. – weather.com
Picture Credit: weather.comFollow @mauiwatch
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